Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.124083 0.145992 0.170484 0.199873 0.234163 0.272892 0.319941
2025-11-09 0.086549 0.113276 0.146317 0.190089 0.246486 0.316638 0.410475
2025-11-16 0.068547 0.097153 0.135268 0.189611 0.264948 0.365540 0.509915
2025-11-23 0.055056 0.083363 0.123495 0.184290 0.273794 0.400440 0.592960
2025-11-30 0.047603 0.076315 0.119256 0.187786 0.294016 0.451959 0.704097
2025-12-07 0.041040 0.069280 0.113601 0.187731 0.308077 0.495114 0.807030
2025-12-14 0.034929 0.061853 0.106035 0.183199 0.313915 0.525494 0.892740
2025-12-21 0.030667 0.056763 0.101388 0.182494 0.325372 0.565418 0.997621
2025-12-28 0.028271 0.054512 0.101121 0.189005 0.349485 0.628473 1.147914
2026-01-04 0.026452 0.053004 0.101881 0.197269 0.377408 0.700725 1.321809
2026-01-11 0.024397 0.050727 0.100881 0.202044 0.399323 0.764342 1.486710
2026-01-18 0.022057 0.047537 0.097707 0.202179 0.412330 0.812729 1.628130
2026-01-25 0.019141 0.042908 0.091438 0.196087 0.413845 0.842213 1.742195
2026-02-01 0.016288 0.037990 0.083953 0.186603 0.407576 0.856383 1.829119
2026-02-08 0.014631 0.035420 0.080986 0.186146 0.419821 0.908787 1.999741
2026-02-15 0.012826 0.032212 0.076163 0.180921 0.421057 0.938420 2.125919
2026-02-22 0.011872 0.030856 0.075270 0.184356 0.441744 1.011482 2.353965
2026-03-01 0.010797 0.029027 0.073018 0.184301 0.454424 1.068409 2.552778
2026-03-08 0.009591 0.026667 0.069161 0.179849 0.456182 1.100953 2.699784
2026-03-15 0.008733 0.025077 0.066962 0.179158 0.466850 1.155073 2.903278
2026-03-22 0.008316 0.024610 0.067533 0.185553 0.495832 1.255531 3.229070
2026-03-29 0.008004 0.024387 0.068706 0.193670 0.530194 1.372744 3.609134
2026-04-05 0.007562 0.023720 0.068601 0.198360 0.556237 1.472300 3.956241